Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
- Yu Deng: Yes 61¢ (polymarket)
- Hong Wang: Yes 77¢ (polymarket)
- Jacob Tsimerman: Yes 85¢ (kalshi)
- John Pardon: Yes 66¢ (kalshi)
- Aleksandr Logunov: Yes 24¢ (kalshi)
- Will Sawin: Yes 11¢ (kalshi)
- Julian Sahasrabudhe: Yes 20¢ (kalshi)
- Jack Thorne: Yes 27¢ (polymarket)
- Alexander Efimov: Yes 14¢ (kalshi)
- Sam Raskin: Yes 23¢ (kalshi)
- Vesselin Dimitrov: Yes 94¢ (polymarket)
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
$612.6K
+$7.0K (24h)
11
Across 2 platforms
80¢
Hong Wang
-42¢
Vesselin Dimitrov
0
None detected
All Markets
| # | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 80¢ | 77¢ | 85¢ | $108.8K+$1.7K 24h | -10¢ | 1¢ | |
| 2 |  Jacob Tsimerman📈 Trending | 75¢ | 92¢ | 85¢ | $67.6K+$881 24h | -12¢ | — |
| 3 |  John Pardon Hot | 67¢ | 82¢ | 66¢ | $89.8K+$876 24h | -4¢ | — |
| 4 | 60¢ | 61¢ | 64¢ | $139.7K+$3.5K 24h | -4¢ | — | |
| 5 | 49¢ | 94¢ | — | $0 | -42¢ | — | |
| 6 | 27¢ | 27¢ | 31¢ | $107.4K+$5 24h | -2¢ | — | |
| 7 | 25¢ | 40¢ | 14¢ | $1.4K+$1 24h | -15¢ | — | |
| 8 | 21¢ | 50¢ | 24¢ | $3.8K+$127 24h | -4¢ | — |
Implied Probability
Consensus across platformsPrice History
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