Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus Winner 2028 — Ron DeSantis

    15% chance · up 1 pts today

    Yes15%▲ 1Polymarket USYes13¢fee unknown
    No85%▼ 1kalshiNo86¢87¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Nov 7, 2028
    Volume
    $143
    24h
    $5
    Liquidity
    $1.6K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USListed on 3 venues

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes15%▲ 1Polymarket US13¢fee unknown
    No86%▼ 1kalshi86¢87¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket USPolymarket USat 13¢: Fees unavailable
    KalshiKalshiat 15¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Ron DeSantis wins the 2028 Iowa Republican presidential caucus, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Iowa is expected to hold a Republican presidential primary or caucus in 2028. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most votes in the Iowa Republican primary, caucus, or other official voting process by which the Iowa public directs the voting of delegates for the selection of the 2028 Republican presidential nominee. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-r…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    2028 Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus Winner

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, November 7, 2028
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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