Who will be the next President of the Brazilian Senate? — Rogério Marinho

    21% chance

    Yes21%kalshiYes21¢23¢ after fees
    No79%kalshiNo81¢83¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Feb 28, 2027
    Volume
    $406
    24h
    $10
    Liquidity
    $2.5K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 2 venues

    Chance over time

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Yes24h
      4¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes21%—kalshi21¢23¢ after fees
    No80%—kalshi81¢83¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 21¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 25¢: exit costs ~0.75¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Rogério Marinho wins the 2027 election for President of the Federal Senate of Brazil, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Following the Brazilian general election held on October 4, 2026, the Federal Senate of Brazil is set to hold an internal election for the position of President of the Brazilian Senate. This market will resolve according to the name of the candidate that becomes President of the Brazilian Senate as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Presidents appointed before the election will not count.…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, February 28, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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