International

    Who will be the next President of the Brazilian Senate?

    Davi Alcolumbre leads by 34 pts · 4 candidates at 5%+

    1. Davi Alcolumbre#155%
    2. Rogério Marinho#221%
    3. Tereza Cristina#319%
    #4 No president by Feb 285%#5 Renan Calheiros4%
    Resolves
    Feb 28, 2027
    Volume
    $2.7K
    24h
    $713
    Liquidity
    $8.6K
    Candidates
    5
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi2 venues · 5 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Davi Alcolumbre55%
    • Rogério Marinho21%
    • Tereza Cristina19%
    • No president by Feb 285%
    • Renan Calheiros4%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    5 signals
    1. Davi Alcolumbre24h
      ▼ 23¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    2. No president by Feb 2824h
      ▼ 7¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. Tereza Cristina24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    4. Tereza Cristina24h
      15¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    5. Davi Alcolumbre24h
      4¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Davi Alcolumbre$1.3K vol · 4¢ apart55%▼ 23kalshi63¢65¢ after fees
    Rogério Marinho$406 vol · 4¢ apart21%—kalshi21¢23¢ after fees
    Tereza Cristina$543 vol · 15¢ apart19%▼ 3kalshi15¢16¢ after fees
    No president by Feb 28$236 vol5%▼ 7Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US9¢9¢ after fees
    Renan Calheiros$241 vol4%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢7¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Tereza Cristina15¢buy kalshi
    • Davi Alcolumbre4¢buy kalshi
    • Rogério Marinho4¢buy kalshi
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Following the Brazilian general election held on October 4, 2026, the Federal Senate of Brazil is set to hold an internal election for the position of President of the Brazilian Senate. This market will resolve according to the name of the candidate that becomes President of the Brazilian Senate as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Presidents appointed before the election will not count.…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    kalshiKalshi

    If Davi Alcolumbre wins the 2027 election for President of the Federal Senate of Brazil, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗

    About this market

    Following the Brazilian general election held on October 4, 2026, the Federal Senate of Brazil is set to hold an internal election for the position of President of the Brazilian Senate. This market will resolve according to the name of the candidate that becomes President of the Brazilian Senate as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Presidents appointed before the election will not count. If this election does not take place or the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No president by Feb 28". This market will resolve based on official information from the Federal Senate of Brazil or a consensus of credible reporting.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, February 28, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshiCompared across 2 venues

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