Next Secretary-General of the UN? — Rebeca Grynspan

38% chance · up 6 pts today

Yes38%▲ 6

Buy Yes41¢43¢ after fees

No62%▼ 6

Buy No65¢67¢ after fees

Resolves: Jun 30, 2027
Volume: $43.9K
24h: $304
Liquidity: $742

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

2 signals

Yes24h
▲ 6¢ in 24h
Yes24h
7¢ apart across venues

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes38%▲ 641¢48¢

41¢43¢ after fees

No62%▼ 665¢63¢

65¢67¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 41¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Polymarketat 48¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Rebeca Grynspan is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not co…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Next Secretary-General of the UN?
Resolves: Wed, June 30, 2027