Beta
    LIVE

    Pete Hegseth

    Volume

    $8.9M

    $26.9K 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    ~212 days left

    Category

    Politics

    0¢CHANCE OF YES0%100%
    Yes
    0¢
    Polymarket
    No
    99¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    0¢
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $8.7M
    $29.5K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KKalshi
    Best No
    Yes
    2¢
    No
    99¢
    Vol
    $129.8K
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

    May 27 11:00May 28 15:00May 29 20:00May 31 00:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:280¢2¢4¢7¢

    About This Market

    If Pete Hegseth officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

    How This Resolves

    KKalshi

    Source: Official government sources (AP, official canvass)

    Rule: Resolves based on AP race call or official certified result, whichever comes first.

    View rule How to verify
    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    View rule How to verify

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KKalshiat 2¢: exit costs ~0.11¢/contract
    PPolymarketat 0¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

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    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2026
    Time Left212 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

    Related reading

    External
    Politics

    Rubio and Hegseth outline 'threefold process' for Venezuela : NPR

    1 minBy  Barbara Sprunt
    Politics

    The President's News Conference in Palm Beach, Florida | The American Presidency Project

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Who is running Venezuela after US forces seized Maduro?

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Who will be Venezuela’s leader by the end of 2026?

    1 minHazel Gandhi
    Politics

    Rubio, Hegseth Brief Senators on Next Steps in Venezuela | Newsmax.com

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026 | Octagon AI

    1 minUnknown
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    Trump says US will 'run' Venezuela until 'safe transition' — but who's actually in charge? | Fox News

    1 minUnknown
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    Rubio and Hegseth brief lawmakers on 'threefold process' for Venezuela | KPBS Public Media

    1 minUnknown

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