TRADING OPEN

    Venezuela leader end of 2026?

    This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $104.4M

    +$84.4K (24h)

    Active Markets

    19

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    76¢

    Nicolás Maduro

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -1¢

    Nicolás Maduro

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    19 markets
    #
    176¢81¢76¢
    $4.6M+$21.1K 24h
    -1¢
    3¢
    220¢20¢20¢
    $3.8M+$8.0K 24h
    +1¢—
    33¢6¢1¢
    $2.8M+$27.6K 24h
    —
    3¢
    42¢—2¢
    $1.6M+$358 24h
    ——
    52¢2¢—
    $7.0K
    -1¢—
    61¢1¢0¢
    $962.9K
    -1¢—
    71¢4¢0¢
    $1.9M+$91 24h
    —
    3¢
    81¢1¢—
    $2.7K
    -1¢—
    90¢1¢0¢
    $2.3M
    ——
    100¢1¢0¢
    $1.3M+$66 24h
    ——
    110¢0¢0¢
    $4.3M
    ——
    120¢0¢0¢
    $32.9M
    ——
    130¢0¢0¢
    $5.9M
    ——
    140¢1¢0¢
    $9.4M+$6.6K 24h
    ——
    150¢0¢0¢
    $26.1M+$5.4K 24h
    ——
    160¢1¢0¢
    $1.9M+$1.1K 24h
    ——
    170¢0¢—
    $68.5K
    ——
    180¢1¢0¢
    $3.1M+$13.0K 24h
    ——
    190¢1¢0¢
    $1.5M+$1.0K 24h
    —
    1¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Nicolás Maduro
    76%
    76¢-1¢
    2Delcy Rodríguez
    20%
    20¢+1¢
    3María Corina Machado
    3¢—
    4Vladimir Padrino López
    1¢-1¢
    5Edmundo González
    1¢—
    6Diosdado Cabello Rondón
    0¢—
    7Jorge Rodríguez
    0¢—
    8Dan Caine
    0¢—
    9Richard Grenell
    0¢—
    10Evan Pettus
    0¢—
    11Pete Hegseth
    0¢—
    12Frank Donovan
    0¢—
    13Marco Rubio
    0¢—
    14Dinorah Figuera
    0¢—
    15Donald Trump
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~72 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    19
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $104.4M

    Whale Activity

    Loading...