Venezuela leader end of 2026?

    This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $94.6M

    +$122.1K (24h)

    Active Markets

    19

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    68¢

    Nicolás Maduro

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -1¢

    María Corina Machado

    Arb Opportunities

    2

    Best gross: 6¢ / $1 pair

    All Markets

    19 markets · Showing 8
    #
    1
    Nicolás Maduro📈 Trending
    68¢70¢68¢
    $2.5M+$17.7K 24h
    223¢31¢21¢
    $2.7M+$5.7K 24h
    -1¢
    🔥
    310¢
    $2.2M+$7.7K 24h
    -1¢
    4
    $6.1K
    -1¢
    5
    Marco Rubio📈 Trending
    $1.4M+$1.2K 24h
    -1¢
    6
    $1.9K
    -1¢
    7
    $65.7K
    8
    $1.2M+$5.3K 24h

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Nicolás Maduro
    68%
    68¢
    2Delcy Rodríguez
    23%
    23¢-1¢
    3María Corina Machado
    -1¢
    4Marco Rubio
    -1¢
    5Vladimir Padrino López
    6Donald Trump
    7Jorge Rodríguez
    8Edmundo González
    9Diosdado Cabello Rondón
    10Frank Donovan
    11Richard Grenell
    12Pete Hegseth
    13Evan Pettus
    14Dinorah Figuera
    15Dan Caine

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~212 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    19
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $94.6M
    Arb Opportunities
    2

    Whale Activity

    Whale

    sold $11K No on Nicolás Maduro

    polymarket · about 1 month ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 14.3% in 24h

      Edmundo González · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 10.8% in 24h

      Nicolás Maduro · Kalshi

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 9.1% in 24h

      Stephen Miller · Kalshi

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 5.3% in 24h

      Miguel Rodríguez Torres · Kalshi

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 12.5% in 24h

      Evan Pettus · Kalshi