Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027? — Pete Hegseth

    60% chance · down 10 pts today

    Yes60%▼ 10kalshiYes71¢73¢ after fees
    No40%▲ 10kalshiNo30¢32¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2027
    Volume
    $40.0K
    24h
    $6.1K
    Liquidity
    $24.6K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 2 venues

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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Yes24h
      ▼ 10¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    2. Yes24h
      16¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes60%▼ 10kalshi71¢73¢ after fees
    No40%▲ 10kalshi30¢32¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 55¢: exit costs ~0.99¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 71¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
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    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Pete Hegseth is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to which of the listed individuals is the first to be the subject of articles of impeachment passed by the United States House of Representatives between market creation and December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. Articles of impeachment passed against any individual not listed in this market will not be considered. In the event that articles of impeachment are passed against multiple li…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Fri, December 31, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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