First Dem POTUS announcement? — Pete Buttigieg

    20% chance · down 1 pts today

    Yes20%▼ 1kalshiYes21¢23¢ after fees
    No80%▲ 1kalshiNo82¢84¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2028
    Volume
    $18.2K
    24h
    $7
    Liquidity
    $2.2K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USpredictitListed on 3 venues

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Yes24h
      10¢ apart across venuespredictitPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every venue’s price

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes20%▼ 1kalshi21¢23¢ after fees
    No81%▲ 1kalshi82¢84¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 21¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    PredictItPredictItat 15¢: Fees unavailable
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 25¢: exit costs ~0.75¢/contract
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Pete Buttigieg is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: Gavi…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    predictitPredictIt

    Which of these Democratic candidates will announce a 2028 POTUS run first?

    Full rules on PredictIt ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, December 31, 2028
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USpredictitCompared across 3 venues

    In the news

    Discussion

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In

    More in Politics

    All Politics