Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — One Nation

56% chance · down 12 pts today

Yes56%▼ 12

Buy Yes69¢71¢ after fees

No44%▲ 12

Buy No38¢40¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 28, 2026
Volume: $16.9K
24h: $231
Liquidity: $1.8K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Claim offer 1 / 5

Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Signals

2 signals

Yes24h
▼ 12¢ in 24h
Yes24h
8¢ apart across venues

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes56%▼ 1269¢61¢

69¢71¢ after fees

No44%▲ 1238¢50¢

38¢40¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 61¢: exit costs ~0.95¢/contract

Kalshiat 69¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by One Nation following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Resolves: Sat, November 28, 2026