Venezuela leader end of 2026?

    Nicolás Maduro

    Venezuela leader end of 2026?. Best Yes near 69¢ across 2 platforms. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 69¢ · Best No: 25¢ · 2 platforms

    • Polymarket: Yes 76¢ / No 25¢
    • Kalshi: Yes 68¢ / No 35¢

    Nicolás Maduro

    Volume

    $2.6M

    $8.8K 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    ~199 days left

    Arbitrage

    +6.5¢

    Spread detected

    69¢CHANCE OF YES74%26%
    Yes
    69¢
    Kalshi
    No
    25¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    PolymarketPolymarket
    Best No
    Yes
    76¢
    No
    25¢
    Vol
    $1.9M
    $6.3K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KalshiKalshi
    Best Yes
    Yes
    68¢
    No
    35¢
    Vol
    $712.3K
    $2.5K 24h
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

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    About This Market

    This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 76¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 68¢: exit costs ~1.52¢/contract
    Full calculator
    Arbitrage: +6.5¢ spread detected

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2026
    Time Left199 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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