Next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs? — Mauro Vieira

    46% chance · down 10 pts today

    Yes46%▼ 10kalshiYes55¢57¢ after fees
    No54%▲ 10kalshiNo55¢57¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Feb 28, 2027
    Volume
    $661
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $166
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 2 venues

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Yes24h
      ▼ 10¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes46%▼ 10kalshi55¢57¢ after fees
    No54%▲ 10kalshi55¢57¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 55¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
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    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Mauro Vieira formally takes office as Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Brazilian general election before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs (Ministro das Relações Exteriores) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Minister of Foreign Affairs at the end of the previou…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, February 28, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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