Beta
    LIVE

    Marco Rubio

    Volume

    $13.5M

    $41.6K 24h

    Platforms

    3

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Nov 7, 2028

    ~907 days left

    Category

    Politics

    14¢CHANCE OF YES15%85%
    Yes
    14¢
    Polymarket
    No
    82¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    3 platforms
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    14¢
    No
    86¢
    Vol
    $9.8M
    $15.6K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KKalshi
    Best No
    Yes
    19¢
    No
    82¢
    Vol
    $3.6M
    $26.0K 24h
    Trade on Kalshi
    IPredictIt
    Yes
    17¢
    No
    84¢
    Vol
    $0
    Trade on PredictIt

    Price History

    May 9 14:00May 10 18:00May 11 23:00May 13 04:00May 14 09:00May 15 19:527¢12¢17¢26¢

    About This Market

    Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?

    How This Resolves

    IPredictIt

    Source: Official government sources, AP

    Rule: Resolves based on official results. PredictIt staff make final resolution determination.

    View rule How to verify
    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    View rule How to verify
    KKalshi

    Source: Official government sources (AP, official canvass)

    Rule: Resolves based on AP race call or official certified result, whichever comes first.

    View rule How to verify

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    IPredictItat 17¢: exit costs ~1.7¢/contract
    PPolymarketat 14¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KKalshiat 19¢: exit costs ~1.08¢/contract
    Full calculator

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    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Nov 7, 2028
    Time Left907 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

    Related reading

    External
    Politics

    Rubio's chances of winning presidential election hit record high - Newsweek

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Rubio jumps Vance as most likely to win 2028 presidential race on Kalshi

    1 minWashington Examiner Staff
    Politics

    Marco Rubio Election Odds: Rubio Reclaims Lead Over J.D. Vance as 2028 Presidential Market Tightens

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Marco Rubio Gains Ground on JD Vance in Quiet Race to Succeed Trump in 2028

    1 minEwan Scott
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    Marco Rubio is new 2028 frontrunner ahead of Gavin Newsom—Prediction odds - Newsweek

    1 minUnknown
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    Marco Rubio Jumps Vance and Newsom As Favorite To Win 2028 Election | OutKick

    1 minBobby Burack
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    Vance or Rubio? Trump Discusses 2028 Presidential Ticket at White House

    1 minTiago Ventura
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    Rubio Leapfrogs Vance and Newsom to Become Betting Favorite to Win 2028 Presidential Race

    1 minUnknown

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