Swiss Federal Council By-Election Winner — Marco Chiesa

    14% chance

    Yes14%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes18¢19¢ after fees
    No86%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo89¢89¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 9, 2026
    Volume
    $361
    24h
    $125
    Liquidity
    $322
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes14%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US18¢19¢ after fees
    No86%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US89¢89¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 18¢: exit costs ~0.59¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Switzerland's Federal Assembly is currently scheduled to elect a successor to Federal Councillor Guy Parmelin on December 9, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual elected by the Federal Assembly to succeed Guy Parmelin as a member of the Swiss Federal Council by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An individual will be considered elected once the Federal Assembly officially declares them elected. Whether t…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, December 9, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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