Who will be arrested before 2027?

    Mahmoud Khalil

    Who will be arrested before 2027?. Best Yes near 22¢ across 2 platforms. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 22¢ · Best No: 90¢ · 2 platforms

    • Polymarket: Yes 49¢ / No 90¢
    • Kalshi: Yes 22¢ / No 84¢

    Mahmoud Khalil

    Volume

    $10.7K

    $0 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    ~129 days left

    Category

    Politics

    22¢CHANCE OF YES20%80%
    Yes
    22¢
    Kalshi
    No
    90¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best Yes
    Yes
    22¢
    No
    84¢
    Vol
    $9.4K
    polymarket
    Polymarket
    Best No
    Yes
    49¢
    No
    90¢
    Vol
    $1.3K

    Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups

    Price History

    Loading…

    About This Market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 49¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 22¢: exit costs ~1.2¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2026
    Time Left129 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In