Who will be arrested before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

• Gavin Newsom: Yes 7¢ (polymarket)
• Barack Obama: Yes 5¢ (polymarket)
• Anthony Fauci: Yes 7¢ (polymarket)
• Hillary Clinton: Yes 6¢ (polymarket)
• John Brennan: Yes 50¢ (kalshi)
• Adam Schiff: Yes 8¢ (polymarket)
• Bill Clinton: Yes 5¢ (polymarket)
• Tom Homan: Yes 12¢ (kalshi)
• John Kerry: Yes 8¢ (kalshi)
• Mahmoud Khalil: Yes 23¢ (kalshi)
• Letitia James: Yes 32¢ (kalshi)
• James Clapper: Yes 26¢ (polymarket)