Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

    Lula da Silva within 5% to 10%

    Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory. Best Yes near 38¢ across 2 platforms. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 38¢ · Best No: 61¢ · 2 platforms

    • Kalshi: Yes 38¢ / No 67¢
    • Polymarket: Yes 40¢ / No 61¢
    TRADING OPEN

    Lula da Silva within 5% to 10%

    Volume

    $21.8K

    $13 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Oct 4, 2026

    ~40 days left

    Category

    Politics

    38¢CHANCE OF YES38%62%
    Yes
    38¢
    Kalshi
    No
    61¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    polymarket
    Polymarket
    Best No
    Yes
    40¢
    No
    61¢
    Vol
    $19.5K
    Trade on Polymarket

    Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups

    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best Yes
    Yes
    38¢
    No
    67¢
    Vol
    $2.3K
    $13 24h
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

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    About This Market

    If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 38¢: exit costs ~1.65¢/contract
    PolymarketPolymarketat 40¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Oct 4, 2026
    Time Left40 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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