Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner

Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner — Lee Fairclough

71% chance · down 1 pts today

Yes71%▼ 1

Buy Yes73¢75¢ after fees

No29%▲ 1

Buy No31¢33¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 21, 2026
Volume: $9.7K
24h: $55
Liquidity: $21.3K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes71%▼ 173¢71¢

73¢75¢ after fees

No29%▲ 131¢32¢

31¢33¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 71¢: exit costs ~0.82¢/contract

Kalshiat 73¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Lee Fairclough wins the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Polymarket (global)

The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of t…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner
Resolves: Sat, November 21, 2026