House Majority Leader of the next Congress? — Katherine Clark

    96% chance · down 1 pts today

    Yes96%▼ 1Polymarket USYes83¢fee unknown
    No4%▲ 1Polymarket USNo18¢fee unknown
    Resolves
    Jan 2, 2027
    Volume
    $7.5K
    24h
    $43
    Liquidity
    $12.6K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USListed on 2 venues

    Chance over time

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Yes24h
      14¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes96%▼ 1Polymarket US83¢fee unknown
    No4%▲ 1Polymarket US18¢fee unknown

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket USPolymarket USat 83¢: Fees unavailable
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 97¢: exit costs ~0.11¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the first individual selected to be Majority Leader of the United States House of Representatives for the 120th United States Congress, which is scheduled to convene in January 2027 following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible report…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    House Majority Leader in the 120th Congress?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sat, January 2, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 2 venues

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