House Majority Leader of the next Congress?

    Katherine Clark leads by 93 pts

    1. Katherine Clark#196%
    2. Pete Aguilar#23%
    3. Tom Emmer#31%
    Resolves
    Jan 17, 2027
    Volume
    $21.8K
    24h
    $44
    Liquidity
    $53.5K
    Candidates
    10
    Polymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 10 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Katherine Clark96%
    • Pete Aguilar3%
    • Tom Emmer1%
    • Hakeem Jeffries1%
    • Joe Neguse1%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Katherine Clark24h
      14¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Katherine Clark$7.5K vol · 14¢ apart96%▼ 1Polymarket US83¢fee unknown
    Pete Aguilar$2.2K vol3%▼ 2Polymarket US2¢fee unknown
    Tom Emmer$1.5K vol1%▼ 1Polymarket US2¢fee unknown
    Hakeem Jeffries$2.6K vol1%▼ 2Polymarket US2¢fee unknown
    Joe Neguse$1.6K vol1%—Polymarket US2¢fee unknown
    Jim Jordan$1.4K vol1%—Polymarket US2¢fee unknown
    Lisa McClain$1.3K vol1%—Polymarket US2¢fee unknown
    Ted Lieu$1.4K vol1%—Polymarket US2¢fee unknown
    Steve Scalise$820 vol1%—Polymarket US2¢fee unknown
    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$1.4K vol1%—Polymarket US2¢fee unknown

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket US
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

    Loading trades…

    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    House Majority Leader in the 120th Congress?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the first individual selected to be Majority Leader of the United States House of Representatives for the 120th United States Congress, which is scheduled to convene in January 2027 following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible report…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve according to the first individual selected to be Majority Leader of the United States House of Representatives for the 120th United States Congress, which is scheduled to convene in January 2027 following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, January 17, 2027
    Polymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

    More in US Election

    All US Election