Beta
    LIVE

    Kamala Harris

    Volume

    $2.8M

    $51.2K 24h

    Platforms

    3

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026

    ~154 days left

    Category

    Politics

    0¢CHANCE OF YES0%100%
    Yes
    0¢
    Kalshi
    No
    99¢
    PredictIt

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    3 platforms
    KKalshi
    Best Yes
    Yes
    0¢
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $1.6M
    Trade on Kalshi
    PPolymarket
    Yes
    0¢
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $1.3M
    $53.4K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    IPredictIt
    Best No
    Yes
    1¢
    No
    99¢
    Vol
    $0
    Trade on PredictIt

    Price History

    May 27 11:00May 28 15:00May 29 20:00May 31 00:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:280¢2¢5¢

    About This Market

    This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

    How This Resolves

    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    View rule How to verify
    KKalshi

    Source: Official government sources (AP, official canvass)

    Rule: Resolves based on AP race call or official certified result, whichever comes first.

    View rule How to verify
    IPredictIt

    Source: Official government sources, AP

    Rule: Resolves based on official results. PredictIt staff make final resolution determination.

    View rule How to verify

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PPolymarketat 0¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KKalshiat 0¢: exit costs ~0.01¢/contract
    IPredictItat 1¢: exit costs ~0.1¢/contract
    Full calculator

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    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Nov 3, 2026
    Time Left154 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

    Related reading

    External
    Politics

    Kamala Harris will not run for California governor in 2026 - CalMatters

    1 minAlexei Koseff
    Politics

    Kamala Harris makes decision on next political move

    1 minAnabel Sosa
    Politics

    Former Vice President Kamala Harris says she will not be running in ...

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    California Governor Race: Leading Candidates as Kamala Harris Opts Out - Newsweek

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Who's the frontrunner in CA governor's race now that Harris is out ...

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Kamala Harris dominates in California governor's race poll - KTLA

    1 minMarc Sternfield
    Politics

    Kamala Harris for California governor: Poll finds many voters like the idea

    1 minUnknown
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    Dems play risky game anointing Kamala Harris for CA governor

    1 minUnknown

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