Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026? — Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar

13% chance

Yes13%

Buy Yes15¢no fee

No87%

Buy No90¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $8.0K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $10.7K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes13%—15¢

15¢no fee

No88%—90¢

90¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026