Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus Winner 2028 — J.D. Vance

    32% chance · down 12 pts today

    Yes32%▼ 12Polymarket USYes28¢fee unknown
    No68%▲ 12kalshiNo67¢69¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Nov 7, 2028
    Volume
    $509
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $1.5K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USListed on 3 venues

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Yes24h
      ▼ 12¢ in 24hPolymarket USkalshi
    2. Yes24h
      8¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USkalshi

    Every venue’s price

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes32%▼ 12Polymarket US28¢fee unknown
    No68%▲ 12kalshi67¢69¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket USPolymarket USat 28¢: Fees unavailable
    KalshiKalshiat 36¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If J.D. Vance wins the 2028 Iowa Republican presidential caucus, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Iowa is expected to hold a Republican presidential primary or caucus in 2028. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most votes in the Iowa Republican primary, caucus, or other official voting process by which the Iowa public directs the voting of delegates for the selection of the 2028 Republican presidential nominee. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-r…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    2028 Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus Winner

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, November 7, 2028
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

    In the news

    Discussion

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In

    More in Politics

    All Politics