JD Vance

    Volume

    $14.7M

    $75.3K 24h

    Platforms

    3

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Nov 7, 2028

    ~907 days left

    Category

    Politics

    19¢CHANCE OF YES20%80%
    Yes
    19¢
    Polymarket
    No
    77¢
    PredictIt

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    3 platforms
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    19¢
    No
    81¢
    Vol
    $12.1M
    $67.7K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KKalshi
    Yes
    19¢
    No
    82¢
    Vol
    $2.6M
    $7.6K 24h
    Trade on Kalshi
    IPredictIt
    Best No
    Yes
    25¢
    No
    77¢
    Vol
    $0
    Trade on PredictIt

    Price History

    May 9 14:00May 10 18:00May 11 23:00May 13 04:00May 14 09:00May 15 19:5113¢18¢23¢31¢

    About This Market

    The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

    How This Resolves

    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    IPredictIt

    Source: Official government sources, AP

    Rule: Resolves based on official results. PredictIt staff make final resolution determination.

    KKalshi

    Source: Official government sources (AP, official canvass)

    Rule: Resolves based on AP race call or official certified result, whichever comes first.

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PPolymarketat 19¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    IPredictItat 25¢: exit costs ~2.5¢/contract
    KKalshiat 19¢: exit costs ~1.08¢/contract
    Full calculator

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