Next Cabinet member to leave? — J.D. Vance

5% chance

Yes5%

Buy Yes10¢10¢ after fees

No95%—

Resolves: Dec 31, 2028
Volume: $261
24h: $76
Liquidity: $1.3K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Claim offer 1 / 5

Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes5%—10¢

10¢10¢ after fees

No95%—–—

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 10¢: exit costs ~0.36¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None before 2029". An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignatio…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Next Cabinet member to leave?
Resolves: Sun, December 31, 2028