Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?

Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027? — JD Vance

1% chance

Yes1%

Buy Yes6¢7¢ after fees

No99%

Buy No99¢100¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2027
Volume: $2.0K
24h: $467
Liquidity: $5.7K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

1 signal

Yes24h
5¢ apart across venues

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes1%—6¢1¢

6¢7¢ after fees

No99%—99¢–

99¢100¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 1¢: exit costs ~0.04¢/contract

Kalshiat 6¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If JD Vance is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to which of the listed individuals is the first to be the subject of articles of impeachment passed by the United States House of Representatives between market creation and December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. Articles of impeachment passed against any individual not listed in this market will not be considered. In the event that articles of impeachment are passed against multiple li…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?
Resolves: Fri, December 31, 2027