JD Vance announces a presidential run by...? — Before Apr 1, 2027

    26% chance · down 5 pts today

    Yes26%▼ 5Polymarket USYes14¢fee unknown
    No74%▲ 5kalshiNo76¢78¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Mar 31, 2027
    Volume
    $8.7K
    24h
    $279
    Liquidity
    $21.7K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USListed on 3 venues

    Chance over time

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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Yes24h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hPolymarket USkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Yes24h
      14¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every venue’s price

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes26%▼ 5Polymarket US14¢fee unknown
    No74%▲ 5kalshi76¢78¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket USPolymarket USat 14¢: Fees unavailable
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 28¢: exit costs ~0.81¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 27¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If JD Vance has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if J.D. Vance officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by J.D. Vance will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomin…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    JD Vance Announces a Presidential Run?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, March 31, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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