JD Vance announces a presidential run by...? — June 30, 2027

    51% chance · down 2 pts today

    Yes51%▼ 2Polymarket USYes41¢fee unknown
    No49%▲ 2kalshiNo46¢48¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Jun 30, 2027
    Volume
    $8.0K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $27.0K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USListed on 3 venues

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Yes24h
      18¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USkalshi

    Every venue’s price

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes51%▼ 2Polymarket US41¢fee unknown
    No49%▲ 2kalshi46¢48¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket USPolymarket USat 41¢: Fees unavailable
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 58¢: exit costs ~0.97¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 59¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
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    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If JD Vance has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if J.D. Vance officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by J.D. Vance will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomin…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    JD Vance Announces a Presidential Run?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, June 30, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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