Next Cabinet member to leave? — Jamieson Greer

4% chance · down 1 pts today

Yes4%▼ 1

Buy Yes6¢7¢ after fees

No96%▲ 1

Buy No99¢99¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2028
Volume: $216
24h: $0
Liquidity: $1.4K

Listed on 3 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

3 venues

Chance

Best

Yes4%▼ 16¢8¢5¢

6¢7¢ after fees

No97%▲ 1–99¢99¢

99¢99¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 6¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Polymarketat 8¢: exit costs ~0.3¢/contract

PredictItat 5¢: Fees unavailable

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Jamieson Greer is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being removed from office) after Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None before 2029". An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignatio…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

PredictIt

Who will be the next Cabinet member to leave office?

Full rules on PredictIt ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Next Cabinet member to leave?
Resolves: Sun, December 31, 2028