Iván Cepeda

    Volume

    $3.1M

    $216.2K 24h

    Platforms

    3

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Jun 21, 2026

    ~20 days left

    Category

    Politics

    18¢CHANCE OF YES18%82%
    Yes-5¢
    18¢
    Kalshi
    No+5¢
    80¢
    PredictIt

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    3 platforms
    PPolymarket
    Yes
    19¢
    No
    82¢
    Vol
    $2.7M
    $157.3K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KKalshi
    Best Yes
    Yes
    18¢
    No
    83¢
    Vol
    $389.9K
    $70.7K 24h
    Trade on Kalshi
    IPredictIt
    Best No
    Yes
    23¢
    No
    80¢
    Vol
    $0
    Trade on PredictIt

    Price History

    May 27 11:00May 28 15:00May 29 20:00May 31 00:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:2725¢50¢75¢100¢

    About This Market

    If the winner of the next Colombian presidential election scheduled to be held in 2026 (at the latest) is Iván Cepeda Castro, then the market resolves to Yes.

    How This Resolves

    KKalshi

    Source: Official government sources (AP, official canvass)

    Rule: Resolves based on AP race call or official certified result, whichever comes first.

    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    IPredictIt

    Source: Official government sources, AP

    Rule: Resolves based on official results. PredictIt staff make final resolution determination.

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KKalshiat 18¢: exit costs ~1.03¢/contract
    PPolymarketat 19¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    IPredictItat 23¢: exit costs ~2.3¢/contract
    Full calculator

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