Colombia presidential election winner?

    Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

    Resolves Jun 21, 2026
    Total Volume

    $27.6M

    +$610.9K (24h)

    Active Markets

    17

    Across 3 platforms

    Frontrunner

    81¢

    Abelardo de la Espriella

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -49¢

    Mauricio Cárdenas

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    17 markets · Showing 8
    #
    181¢81¢81¢83¢
    $3.4M+$320.2K 24h
    250¢99¢
    $2.5M
    -49¢
    350¢99¢
    $1.8M
    -49¢
    4
    Iván Cepeda📈 Trending
    18¢19¢23¢18¢
    $3.1M+$228.0K 24h
    -2¢
    5
    $0
    6
    $0
    7
    $0
    8
    $1.3M

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Abelardo de la Espriella
    81%
    81¢
    2Iván Cepeda
    18%
    18¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jun 21, 2026

    ~20 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    17
    Platforms
    3
    Total Volume
    $27.6M

    Whale Activity

    Whale

    sold $12K Yes on Abelardo de la Espriella

    polymarket · 1 day ago

    Whale

    sold $12K Yes on Abelardo de la Espriella

    polymarket · 1 day ago

    Whale

    sold $11K No on Paloma Valencia

    polymarket · 1 day ago

    Whale

    sold $11K Yes on Abelardo de la Espriella

    polymarket · about 18 hours ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 5.0% in 24h

      Iván Cepeda Castro · Polymarket

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 14.3% in 24h

      Iván Cepeda · Kalshi

    • Price MoveJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 39.5% in 24h

      Iván Cepeda · PredictIt

    • DivergenceJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Pricing disconnect: platforms disagree by 99900¢ on outcome probability

    • DivergenceJun 2, 8:00 AM

      Pricing disconnect: platforms disagree by 34¢ on outcome probability

      Iván Cepeda · Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt