Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

    Howard Lutnick

    Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?. Best Yes near 35¢ across 2 platforms. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 35¢ · Best No: 57¢ · 2 platforms

    • Polymarket: Yes 35¢ / No 68¢
    • Kalshi: Yes 44¢ / No 57¢

    Howard Lutnick

    Volume

    $400.1K

    $1.3K 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    ~199 days left

    Arbitrage

    +8.0¢

    Spread detected

    35¢CHANCE OF YES38%62%
    Yes
    35¢
    Polymarket
    No
    57¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    KalshiKalshi
    Best No
    Yes
    44¢
    No
    57¢
    Vol
    $316.6K
    $1.1K 24h
    Trade on Kalshi
    PolymarketPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    35¢
    No
    68¢
    Vol
    $83.5K
    $193 24h
    Trade on Polymarket

    Price History

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    About This Market

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 35¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 44¢: exit costs ~1.72¢/contract
    Full calculator
    Arbitrage: +8.0¢ spread detected

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2026
    Time Left199 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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