TRADING OPEN

    Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

    Resolves Jan 1, 2027
    Total Volume

    $5.5M

    +$17.1K (24h)

    Active Markets

    35

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    72¢

    Ric Grenell

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -25¢

    Dan Scavino

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    35 markets
    #
    172¢72¢—
    $2.7K+$77 24h
    -1¢—
    238¢38¢38¢
    $364.1K+$4.4K 24h
    -2¢—
    331¢31¢—
    $21.3K+$34 24h
    -1¢—
    430¢30¢—
    $90.0K+$28 24h
    +2¢—
    528¢—28¢
    $137
    -25¢—
    627¢—27¢
    $99.4K
    -9¢—
    725¢25¢25¢
    $1.4M+$6.8K 24h
    ——
    822¢22¢—
    $57.8K+$26 24h
    +1¢—
    922¢—22¢
    $2.9K
    -7¢—
    1018¢18¢—
    $13.3K+$5 24h
    -1¢—
    1118¢18¢—
    $24.3K+$3 24h
    -2¢—
    1218¢18¢—
    $36.2K+$177 24h
    -4¢—
    13
    Kash Patel📈 Trending
    17¢19¢15¢
    $1.6M+$1.5K 24h
    +1¢—
    1416¢16¢—
    $50.9K+$180 24h
    +1¢—
    15
    Mike Huckabee📈 Trending
    16¢16¢—
    $29.7K+$51 24h
    ——
    16
    Howard Lutnick📈 Trending
    15¢18¢13¢
    $520.9K+$887 24h
    -2¢
    3¢
    1715¢15¢21¢
    $41.2K+$78 24h
    -1¢—
    1815¢15¢—
    $11.5K+$12 24h
    ——
    1914¢14¢—
    $9.2K+$34 24h
    -1¢—
    2014¢12¢17¢
    $10.8K
    -4¢—
    2114¢14¢—
    $14.4K+$3 24h
    ——
    2213¢13¢14¢
    $376.8K+$1.3K 24h
    -2¢—
    2313¢13¢—
    $23.2K+$7 24h
    -1¢—
    24
    Stephen Miller📈 Trending
    13¢14¢8¢
    $136.5K+$549 24h
    -2¢
    1¢
    2513¢13¢—
    $3.1K+$3 24h
    -1¢—
    2612¢12¢—
    $4.9K+$60 24h
    -1¢—
    27
    Mehmet Oz📈 Trending
    12¢12¢—
    $21.7K+$54 24h
    ——
    2812¢12¢—
    $7.3K+$43 24h
    ——
    2912¢12¢—
    $7.5K+$41 24h
    +1¢—
    3011¢11¢—
    $8.2K+$9 24h
    -1¢—
    3111¢13¢9¢
    $20.7K+$39 24h
    -3¢—
    3210¢10¢5¢
    $203.6K+$623 24h
    +1¢
    3¢
    33
    Lee Zeldin📈 Trending
    7¢7¢9¢
    $81.0K+$33 24h
    -2¢—
    347¢—7¢
    $10.2K+$20 24h
    -4¢—
    356¢7¢5¢
    $113.5K+$27 24h
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Susie Wiles
    38%
    38¢-2¢
    2Pete Hegseth
    25%
    25¢—
    3Kash Patel
    17%
    17¢+1¢
    4Howard Lutnick
    15%
    15¢-2¢
    5Tom Homan
    15%
    15¢-1¢
    6Russell Vought
    14%
    14¢-4¢
    7Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
    13%
    13¢-2¢
    8Stephen Miller
    13%
    13¢-2¢
    9John Ratcliffe
    11¢-3¢
    10Marco Rubio
    10¢+1¢
    11Lee Zeldin
    7¢-2¢
    12Scott Bessent
    6¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jan 1, 2027

    ~72 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    35
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $5.5M

    Whale Activity

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