Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
- Kash Patel: Yes 53¢ (polymarket)
- Karoline Leavitt: Yes 30¢ (kalshi)
- Howard Lutnick: Yes 35¢ (polymarket)
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: Yes 42¢ (polymarket)
- Susie Wiles: Yes 35¢ (polymarket)
- Pete Hegseth: Yes 25¢ (polymarket)
- Marco Rubio: Yes 11¢ (polymarket)
- Lee Zeldin: Yes 32¢ (kalshi)
- John Ratcliffe: Yes 23¢ (kalshi)
- Russell Vought: Yes 20¢ (kalshi)
- Tom Homan: Yes 21¢ (kalshi)
- Stephen Miller: Yes 25¢ (kalshi)
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
$4.4M
+$47.8K (24h)
36
Across 2 platforms
100¢
Tulsi Gabbard
-25¢
Dan Scavino
5
Best gross: 9¢ / $1 pair
All Markets
| # | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | — | $608.8K+$35.6K 24h | — | — | |
| 2 | 65¢ | 66¢ | — | $52.3K+$2.7K 24h | -1¢ | — | |
| 3 | 63¢ | 63¢ | — | $23.4K+$31 24h | -1¢ | — | |
| 4 |  Dan Scavino Hot | 61¢ | — | 80¢ | $73 | -25¢ | — |
| 5 | 56¢ | 57¢ | 53¢ | $1.1M+$2.7K 24h | -3¢ | 2¢ | |
| 6 | 47¢ | 54¢ | 42¢ | $223.8K+$1.2K 24h | +2¢ | 9¢🔥 | |
| 7 | 43¢ | — | 52¢ | $93.4K+$72 24h | -7¢ | — | |
| 8 | 42¢ | 44¢ | 35¢ | $400.1K+$1.3K 24h | -1¢ | 8¢🔥 |
Implied Probability
Consensus across platformsPrice History
Event Info
Whale Activity
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