Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Speaker of the House after the midterms? — Hakeem Jeffries

97% chance

Yes97%

Buy Yes95¢fee unknown

No3%

Buy No4¢5¢ after fees

Resolves: Jan 17, 2027
Volume: $259.2K
24h: $76.4K
Liquidity: $47.4K

Listed on 3 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

3 venues

Chance

Best

Yes97%—97¢98¢95¢

95¢fee unknown

No3%—4¢3¢6¢

4¢5¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarket USat 95¢: Fees unavailable

Polymarketat 98¢: exit costs ~0.09¢/contract

Kalshiat 97¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Hakeem Jeffries wins the election for Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives at the opening of the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

Polymarket US

Speaker of the House in the 120th Congress?

Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Speaker of the House after the midterms?
Resolves: Sun, January 17, 2027