Grok 5 released by...? — Before December

2% chance · down 1 pts today

Yes2%▼ 1

Buy Yes5¢6¢ after fees

No98%▲ 1—

Resolves: Nov 30, 2026
Volume: $6.5K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $2.6K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes2%▼ 15¢1¢

5¢6¢ after fees

No98%▲ 1––—

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 1¢: exit costs ~0.04¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If xAI releases Grok 5 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5, or a model that is clearly recognized as xAI’s next flagship generation succeeding Grok 4. Models released under the Grok 4 generation, including Grok 4.6, Grok 4.7, or similar variants, will not qu…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Grok 5 released by...?
Resolves: Mon, November 30, 2026