Grok 5 released by...? — By December 31, 2026
10% chance · down 1 pts today
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- Volume
- $37.6K
- 24h
- $138
- Liquidity
- $4.2K
Listed on 3 venuesChance over time
Yes price, by venuePolymarket USCFTC-regulatedDeposit $10, get $25
Trading bonus for new sign-ups.
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Signals
1 signal- Yes24h6¢ apart across venues
Every venue’s price
3 venuesEach share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.
Before you trade
Fee Impact at These Prices
Polymarketat 8¢: exit costs ~0.29¢/contractPolymarket USat 10¢: Fees unavailableKalshiat 14¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢How each venue settles it
Kalshi
If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules on Kalshi ↗Polymarket (global)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5, or a model that is clearly recognized as xAI’s next flagship generation succeeding Grok 4. Models released under the Grok 4 generation, including Grok 4.6, Grok 4.7, or similar variants, will not qu…
Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗About this market
- Category
- Culture
- Resolves
- Thu, December 31, 2026
Compared across 3 venuesIn the news
Discussion
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