Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — Greens

    23% chance · down 3 pts today

    Yes23%▼ 3kalshiYes18¢20¢ after fees
    No77%▲ 3kalshiNo87¢88¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Nov 28, 2026
    Volume
    $8.2K
    24h
    $56
    Liquidity
    $3.0K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 2 venues

    Chance over time

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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. Yes24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Yes24h
      11¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes23%▼ 3kalshi18¢20¢ after fees
    No77%▲ 3kalshi87¢88¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 18¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 29¢: exit costs ~0.82¢/contract
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by the Greens following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sat, November 28, 2026
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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