November 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) — 1.50–1.54ºC

10% chance

Yes10%

Buy Yes12¢no fee

No90%

Buy No93¢no fee

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027
Volume: $2.0K
24h: $10
Liquidity: $2.4K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes10%—12¢

12¢no fee

No91%—93¢

93¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 12¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for November 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for November 2026 is later revised. The brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustiv…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: November 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Resolves: Fri, January 1, 2027