on 2026-07 temperature increase (ºc)

    1.15–1.19ºC

    on 2026-07 temperature increase (ºc). Best Yes near 81¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 81¢ · Best No: 94¢ · 1 platform

    • Polymarket: Yes 81¢ / No 94¢
    🎨

    1.15–1.19ºC

    Volume

    $47

    $0 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Sep 1, 2026

    ~78 days left

    Category

    Culture

    81¢CHANCE OF YES46%54%
    Yes
    81¢
    Polymarket
    No
    94¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    PolymarketPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    81¢
    No
    94¢
    Vol
    $47
    Trade on Polymarket

    Price History

    Loading…

    About This Market

    This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for July 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for July 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for July 2026 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 81¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator
    🎨

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Sep 1, 2026
    Time Left78 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryCulture

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In