Beta

    July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

    July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) Live odds across 6 markets: >1.29ºC at 82¢. Resolves Sep 1, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Sep 1, 2026

    LIVE
    8s

    July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

    Resolves Sep 1, 2026
    Total Volume

    $377

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    6

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    45¢

    1.10–1.14ºC

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -42¢

    1.10–1.14ºC

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    6 markets · Showing 6
    #
    1
    —
    1.10–1.14ºC
    		45¢81¢
    $63
    		-42¢—
    2
    —
    1.20–1.24ºC
    		45¢82¢
    $45
    		-36¢—
    3
    —
    >1.29ºC
    		43¢82¢
    $54
    		-39¢—
    4
    —
    1.25–1.29ºC
    		42¢81¢
    $84
    		-39¢—
    5
    —
    1.15–1.19ºC
    		41¢78¢
    $47
    		-36¢—
    6
    —
    <1.10ºC
    		39¢74¢
    $83
    		-41¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    11.10–1.14ºC
    45%
    45¢-42¢
    21.20–1.24ºC
    45%
    45¢-36¢
    3>1.29ºC
    43%
    43¢-39¢
    41.25–1.29ºC
    42%
    42¢-39¢
    51.15–1.19ºC
    41%
    41¢-36¢
    6<1.10ºC
    39%
    39¢-41¢

    Price History

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Sep 1, 2026

    ~78 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    6
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $377

    Whale Activity

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