Next Senator in Blackburn's Tennessee seat?

Next Senator in Blackburn's Tennessee seat? — Glenn Jacobs

40% chance · down 12 pts today

Yes40%▼ 12

Buy Yes48¢50¢ after fees

No60%▲ 12

Buy No54¢56¢ after fees

Resolves: Mar 31, 2027
Volume: $5.6K
24h: $71
Liquidity: $4.4K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

2 signals

Yes24h
▼ 12¢ in 24h
Yes24h
6¢ apart across venues

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes40%▼ 1248¢42¢

48¢50¢ after fees

No60%▲ 1254¢70¢

54¢56¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 42¢: exit costs ~0.97¢/contract

Kalshiat 48¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Glenn Jacobs officially holds the position of United States Senator from Tennessee, Class I on Feb 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve according to the next person, other than Marsha Blackburn, to hold the United States Senate seat from Tennessee currently held by Marsha Blackburn (Class I). A person appointed or elected to the seat will be considered to hold it once they have been sworn in. Interim, acting, or other temporary Senators will count. If no person other than Marsha Blackburn has held the seat by March 31, 2027…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Next Senator in Blackburn's Tennessee seat?
Resolves: Wed, March 31, 2027