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    Next Senator in Blackburn's Tennessee seat?

    Glenn Jacobs leads by 7 pts · 5 candidates at 5%+

    1. Glenn Jacobs#140%
    2. Tim Burchett#233%
    3. Damon Hininger#310%
    #4 Stuart McWhorter6%#5 Chuck Fleischmann5%+11 more
    Resolves
    Mar 31, 2027
    Volume
    $43.4K
    24h
    $1.1K
    Liquidity
    $23.8K
    Candidates
    16
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi2 venues · 16 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Glenn Jacobs40%
    • Tim Burchett33%
    • Damon Hininger10%
    • Stuart McWhorter6%
    • Chuck Fleischmann5%
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    Signals

    5 signals
    1. Glenn Jacobs24h
      ▼ 12¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    2. Tim Burchett24h
      ▲ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    3. Stuart McWhorter24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    4. Tim Burchett24h
      17¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    5. Glenn Jacobs24h
      6¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Glenn Jacobs$5.6K vol · 6¢ apart40%▼ 12kalshi48¢50¢ after fees
    Tim Burchett$6.8K vol · 17¢ apart33%▲ 4kalshi37¢39¢ after fees
    Damon Hininger$2.7K vol10%—kalshi14¢15¢ after fees
    Stuart McWhorter$1.5K vol6%▼ 4kalshi7¢8¢ after fees
    Chuck Fleischmann$1.7K vol5%▼ 3kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    Pete Hegseth$13.5K vol5%▼ 2kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    Bill Lee$1.1K vol4%▼ 4kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    John Rose$2.1K vol4%▼ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢7¢ after fees
    Diana Harshbarger$1.2K vol4%▼ 3kalshi4¢5¢ after fees
    Scott DesJarlais$660 vol3%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US5¢5¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve according to the next person, other than Marsha Blackburn, to hold the United States Senate seat from Tennessee currently held by Marsha Blackburn (Class I). A person appointed or elected to the seat will be considered to hold it once they have been sworn in. Interim, acting, or other temporary Senators will count. If no person other than Marsha Blackburn has held the seat by March 31, 2027…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    kalshiKalshi

    If Glenn Jacobs officially holds the position of United States Senator from Tennessee, Class I on Feb 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve according to the next person, other than Marsha Blackburn, to hold the United States Senate seat from Tennessee currently held by Marsha Blackburn (Class I). A person appointed or elected to the seat will be considered to hold it once they have been sworn in. Interim, acting, or other temporary Senators will count. If no person other than Marsha Blackburn has held the seat by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate and the Government of Tennessee; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, March 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshiCompared across 2 venues

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