Nevada Democratic Presidential Primary Winner 2028 — Gavin Newsom

    7% chance · down 1 pts today

    Yes7%▼ 1Polymarket USYes7¢fee unknown
    No93%▲ 1kalshiNo90¢91¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Feb 1, 2028
    Volume
    $87
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $15.8K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USListed on 3 venues

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Yes24h
      8¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every venue’s price

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes7%▼ 1Polymarket US7¢fee unknown
    No93%▲ 1kalshi90¢91¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 5¢: exit costs ~0.2¢/contract
    Polymarket USPolymarket USat 7¢: Fees unavailable
    KalshiKalshiat 13¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Gavin Newsom wins the 2028 Nevada Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Nevada is expected to hold a Democratic presidential primary or caucus in 2028. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most votes in the Nevada Democratic primary, caucus, or other official voting process by which the Nevada public directs the voting of delegates for the selection of the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other m…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    2028 Nevada Democratic Presidential Primary Winner

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, February 1, 2028
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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