Nevada Democratic Presidential Primary Winner 2028

    Jon Ossoff leads by 9 pts · 6 candidates at 5%+

    1. Jon Ossoff#125%
    2. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez#216%
    3. Pete Buttigieg#39%
    Resolves
    Feb 15, 2028
    Volume
    $4.7K
    24h
    $306
    Liquidity
    $305.4K
    Candidates
    21
    Polymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi3 venues · 21 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Jon Ossoff25%
    • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
    • Pete Buttigieg9%
    • Gavin Newsom7%
    • Andy Beshear6%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    5 signals
    1. Bernie Sanders24h
      ▼ 10¢ in 24hPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Mark Kelly24h
      ▼ 6¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. Abdul El-Sayed24h
      ▼ 6¢ in 24hkalshi
    4. Gavin Newsom24h
      8¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    5. Michelle Obama24h
      7¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Jon Ossoff$1.4K vol · 5¢ apart25%▼ 2Polymarket US22¢fee unknown
    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$209 vol · 6¢ apart16%▼ 1Polymarket US14¢fee unknown
    Pete Buttigieg$247 vol · 5¢ apart9%▲ 2Polymarket US5¢fee unknown
    Gavin Newsom$87 vol · 8¢ apart7%▼ 1Polymarket US7¢fee unknown
    Andy Beshear$158 vol · 5¢ apart6%▼ 1Polymarket US4¢fee unknown
    Bernie Sanders$85 vol · 4¢ apart5%▼ 10Polymarket US4¢fee unknown
    Josh Shapiro$690 vol4%▼ 3Polymarket US5¢fee unknown
    Jon Stewart$74 vol · 4¢ apart4%▼ 1Polymarket US4¢fee unknown
    Michelle Obama$124 vol · 7¢ apart4%▼ 3Polymarket US3¢fee unknown
    Kamala Harris$71 vol4%▼ 2Polymarket US5¢fee unknown

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Polymarket US
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    2028 Nevada Democratic Presidential Primary Winner

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Nevada is expected to hold a Democratic presidential primary or caucus in 2028. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most votes in the Nevada Democratic primary, caucus, or other official voting process by which the Nevada public directs the voting of delegates for the selection of the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other m…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    kalshiKalshi

    If Jon Ossoff wins the 2028 Nevada Democratic presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗

    About this market

    Nevada is expected to hold a Democratic presidential primary or caucus in 2028. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most votes in the Nevada Democratic primary, caucus, or other official voting process by which the Nevada public directs the voting of delegates for the selection of the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count that determines the apportionment of statewide delegates. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2028 Nevada primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by the earliest of November 7, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or the first day of the 2028 Democratic convention, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, February 15, 2028
    Polymarket USPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshiCompared across 3 venues

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