Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...? — June 30, 2027

    76% chance · down 2 pts today

    Yes76%▼ 2Polymarket USYes54¢fee unknown
    No24%▲ 2kalshiNo26¢28¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Jun 30, 2027
    Volume
    $540
    24h
    $38
    Liquidity
    $788
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USListed on 3 venues

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Yes24h
      23¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USkalshi

    Every venue’s price

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes76%▼ 2Polymarket US54¢fee unknown
    No25%▲ 2kalshi26¢28¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket USPolymarket USat 54¢: Fees unavailable
    KalshiKalshiat 77¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Gavin Newsom has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whethe…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    Gavin Newsom Announces a Presidential Run?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, June 30, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

    In the news

    Discussion

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In

    More in Politics

    All Politics