François Ruffin

    Volume

    $2.2M

    $33.1K 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Apr 30, 2027

    ~332 days left

    Category

    Politics

    CHANCE OF YES1%99%
    Yes
    Polymarket
    No
    99¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    No
    99¢
    Vol
    $2.2M
    $33.1K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket

    Price History

    May 27 11:00May 28 15:00May 29 20:00May 31 00:00Jun 1 03:00Jun 2 08:27

    About This Market

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

    How This Resolves

    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PPolymarketat 1¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Apr 30, 2027
    Time Left332 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In

    No comments yet. Be the first to share your take!