François Bayrou

    Volume

    $4.7M

    $24.2K 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2027

    ~569 days left

    Category

    Politics

    CHANCE OF YES1%99%
    Yes
    Polymarket
    No
    100¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    No
    99¢
    Vol
    $4.7M
    $24.2K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KKalshi
    Best No
    Yes
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $1.0K
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

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    About This Market

    If François Bayrou wins the next French presidential election (currently scheduled for 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.

    How This Resolves

    KKalshi

    Source: Official government sources (AP, official canvass)

    Rule: Resolves based on AP race call or official certified result, whichever comes first.

    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KKalshiat 2¢: exit costs ~0.11¢/contract
    PPolymarketat 1¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2027
    Time Left569 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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