Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

    Flávio Bolsonaro within 5% to 10%

    Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory. Best Yes near 3¢ across 2 platforms. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 3¢ · Best No: 100¢ · 2 platforms

    • Kalshi: Yes 5¢ / No 100¢
    • Polymarket: Yes 2¢ / No 99¢
    TRADING OPEN

    Flávio Bolsonaro within 5% to 10%

    Volume

    $7.0K

    $0 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Oct 4, 2026

    ~40 days left

    Category

    Politics

    3¢CHANCE OF YES2%98%
    Yes
    3¢
    Polymarket
    No
    100¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    polymarket
    Polymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    2¢
    No
    99¢
    Vol
    $6.2K
    Trade on Polymarket

    Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups

    kalshi
    Kalshi
    Best No
    Yes
    5¢
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $782
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

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    About This Market

    If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 5¢: exit costs ~0.33¢/contract
    PolymarketPolymarketat 2¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Oct 4, 2026
    Time Left40 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

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