Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?

Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...? — November 30, 2026

<1% chance

Yes<1%

Buy Yes1¢2¢ after fees

No>99%—

Resolves: Nov 30, 2026
Volume: $43.6K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $20.2K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes<1%—1¢1¢

1¢2¢ after fees

No>99%—––—

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

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How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If, after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "return" is defined as Flávio Bolsonaro physically entering the terrestrial territory of Brazil. Whether or not Bolsonaro enters Brazilian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positiv…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?
Resolves: Mon, November 30, 2026