Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...? — March 31, 2027

    12% chance · down 1 pts today

    Yes12%▼ 1kalshiYes12¢13¢ after fees
    No88%▲ 1kalshiNo94¢95¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Mar 31, 2027
    Volume
    $4.7K
    24h
    $111
    Liquidity
    $3.4K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 2 venues

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes12%▼ 1kalshi12¢13¢ after fees
    No89%▲ 1kalshi94¢95¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 12¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KalshiKalshiat 12¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
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    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If, after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "return" is defined as Flávio Bolsonaro physically entering the terrestrial territory of Brazil. Whether or not Bolsonaro enters Brazilian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positiv…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, March 31, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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